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Friday, 13 June 2014

WORLD NEWS: Iraq conflict: ISIS militants seize new towns

Iraqi government troops are in disarray and are humiliated, says the BBC's Paul Wood in Irbil Islamist militants in Iraq have seized two new towns, widening their control after threatening to move on Baghdad.

The Sunni-led Islamists advanced into Saadiya and Jalawla in Diyala province and surrounding areas as security forces abandoned their posts.

The US says it is looking at "all options", including military action, to help Iraq fight the insurgency.

The pledge came after the cities of Mosul and Tikrit fell to the militants, but the advance has slowed down.

Led by the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS), the insurgents have threatened to push to the capital, Baghdad and regions further south dominated by Iraq's Shia Muslim majority, whom they regard as "infidels".


Analysis: Jeremy Bowen, BBC Middle East editor

If ISIS can hold Mosul and consolidate its presence there, it will have taken a giant step towards its goal of creating an Islamist emirate that straddles Iraq and Syria.

It would be the most significant act by a jihadist group since al-Qaeda attacked the US on 11 September 2001. It could also lead to other changes to the borders Britain and France imposed on the Middle East a century ago, starting with break-up of Iraq on sectarian lines.

The success of ISIS can only make the turmoil in the Middle East worse. ISIS is an ultra-extremist Sunni Muslim group. Its success will deepen the sectarian conflict between Sunnis and Shias that is already the most dangerous fault line in the Middle East.

Iran, which is a majority Shia Muslim country, shares a border with Iraq. It has a direct line to Iraq's Shia Muslim Prime Minister, Nouri Maliki, and close links with some Iraqi Shia militias. The Iranians could direct their proxies, and even their own special forces units, at ISIS.

That might end up further inflaming the anger of Iraqi Sunnis, who have already helped the advance of ISIS through Iraq.

US air strikes, if they happen, might do the same thing. Once again in the Middle East, the Americans have limited options. Its invasion and occupation of Iraq in 2003 helped create and strengthen jihadist groups.

Critical test ahead for Iraq

Six things that went wrong for Iraq

How did Iraqi militants take over Mosul?

US President Obama: "I don't rule out anything"
Unconfirmed reports on Thursday said Iraqi forces had launched air strikes on Mosul and Tikrit targeting the militants.

US President Barack Obama said he did not "rule out anything because we do have a stake in making sure these jihadists are not getting a permanent foothold in Iraq, or Syria for that matter".


White House spokesman Jay Carney subsequently added that President Obama was referring to not ruling out air strikes. "We are not contemplating ground troops," he said.

Fears of ISIS sparking a wider Sunni uprising have increased with reports that former Baath Party members loyal to former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein have joined forces with the jihadists.

The US will be reluctant to get drawn back into Iraq, or give backing to one side in what appears to have some of the dimensions of civil war, says the BBC's Jim Muir in Irbil - an area in autonomous Kurdish-controlled north.


Analysis by Rami Ruhayem, BBC News, Irbil


Hundreds have sought shelter in Kurdish-run areas
The mass displacement of people from Mosul seen earlier this week has now slowed to a trickle. There are still some people leaving the city and coming into Irbil and other parts of the Kurdish autonomous region. But we've talked to even more people who feel that it is now safe enough to go back to the city. We don't have specific numbers but it's probably in the hundreds.

Barring a large Iraqi army offensive on the town, the main focus of the battle has now shifted elsewhere.

ISIS has opened up many new fronts, including near the border with Iran. They are also continuing to fight in the vast desert province of Anbar, which has long been their stronghold. Anbar borders Syria, where ISIS is also active. As a result, we might see new developments in more central parts of the country.


It is becoming clear that the insurgents are not foreign fighters, as Iraq's Prime Minister Nouri Maliki alleges, our correspondent says, despite ISIS stealing the limelight.

Many strands of Sunni society alienated by Mr Maliki's rule appear to have joined them, he says.


Iraq state TV airs footage said to be airstrikes on the ISIS-held city of Mosul

Former Iraqi PM Ayad Allawi: "If Iraqis...cannot form a unity government...the danger [does] exist of dividing the country"

The advance of the militants has been swift - with the Iraqi army abandoning posts

Iraqis gathered at the army's recruitment centre in Baghdad, after officials urged them to fight the militants
However, an influential group of Sunni scholars has criticised ISIS's attempt to monopolise the situation.

The militants have imposed Islamic law in Mosul.

In its statement, the Association of Muslim Scholars - which is tied to the rebel military councils that include many former soldiers - urged tolerance in "liberated areas" and rejected the calls to move to Shia-dominated areas in Baghdad and southern Iraq.

The United Nations Security Council said on Thursday it unanimously supported Iraq's government and people in their "fight against terrorism".

The United Nations refugee agency, UNHCR, says local authorities estimate that up to 300,000 people fled Mosul in the past few days - joining the more than 500,000 displaced by the conflict in Anbar province earlier.

"The needs are immense," said UNHCR's Gemma Woods.

However, the number of those arriving has slowed down and some already there have begun to return.

In the north of the country, Kurdish forces have claimed control of the oil city of Kirkuk, saying government forces have fled.

The Kurds - seen as a bulwark against the Sunni Muslim insurgents - have also been locked for years in a dispute with Baghdad over Kirkuk, seeking to incorporate it into their own autonomous area.


ISIS in Iraq


An Islamist fighter near a burning Iraqi army Humvee in Tikrit
The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) has 3,000 to 5,000 fighters, and grew out of an al-Qaeda-linked organisation in Iraq
ISIS has exploited the standoff between the Iraqi government and the minority Sunni Arab community, which complains that Shia Prime Minister Nouri Maliki is monopolising power
It has already taken over Ramadi and Falluja, but taking over Mosul is its greatest achievement
The organisation is led by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, an obscure figure regarded as a battlefield commander and tactician who was once the leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq, one of the groups that later became ISIS.
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